Methods on COVID-19 epidemic curve estimation during emergency based on Baidu search engine and ILI traditional surveillance in Beijing, China

Surveillance is an essential work on infectious diseases prevention and control. When the pandemic occurred, the inadequacy of traditional surveillance was exposed, but it also provided a valuable opportunity to explore new surveillance methods. This study aimed to estimate the transmission dynamics and epidemic curve of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Omicron BF.7 in Beijing under the emergent situation using Baidu index and influenza-like illness (ILI) surveillance. A novel hybrid model (multiattention bidirectional gated recurrent unit (MABG)–susceptible–exposed–infected–removed (SEIR)) was developed, which leveraged a deep learning algorithm (MABG) to scrutinize the past records of ILI occurrences and the Baidu index of diverse symptoms such as fever, pyrexia, cough, sore throat, anti-fever medicine, and runny nose. By considering the current Baidu index and the correlation between ILI cases and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases, a transmission dynamics model (SEIR) was formulated to estimate the transmission dynamics and epidemic curve of SARS-CoV-2. During the COVID-19 pandemic, when conventional surveillance measures have been suspended temporarily, cases of ILI can serve as a useful indicator for estimating the epidemiological trends of COVID-19. In the specific case of Beijing, it has been ascertained that cumulative infection attack rate surpass 80.25% (95% confidence interval (95% CI): 77.51%–82.99%) since December 17, 2022, with the apex of the outbreak projected to transpire on December 12. The culmination of existing patients is expected to occur three days subsequent to this peak. Effective reproduction number (Rt) represents the average number of secondary infections generated from a single infected individual at a specific point in time during an epidemic, remained below 1 since December 17, 2022. The traditional disease surveillance systems should be complemented with information from modern surveillance data such as online data sources with advanced technical support. Modern surveillance channels should be used primarily in emerging infectious and disease outbreaks. Syndrome surveillance on COVID-19 should be established to following on the epidemic, clinical severity, and medical source demand

Transplantation Site Affects the Outcomes of Adipose-Derived Stem Cell-Based Therapy for Retinal Degeneration

Adipose-derived stem cells (ASCs) have shown a strong protective effect on retinal degenerative diseases (RDD) after being transplanted into the subretinal space in an animal model. Recently, several clinical trials have been conducted to treat RDD with intravitreal transplantation of stem cells, including ASCs. However, the outcomes of the clinical trials were not satisfactory. To investigate if the transplantation site alters the outcome of stem cell-based therapy for RDD, we isolated rat ASCs (rASCs) and labeled them with green fluorescent protein. Autologous rASCs were grafted into the vitreous chamber or subretinal space in a rat RDD model induced by sodium iodate (SI). The electric response was recorded by ERG. The anatomic structure of the retina was observed in cryosections of rat eyes at posttransplantation weeks 1, 2, and 4. Neural retina apoptosis and epiretinal membrane- (ERM-) like structure formation were investigated by immunostaining. The intravitreal transplantation of rASCs resulted in an extinguished electric response, although the rosette formation and apoptosis of neural retina were reduced. However, the rASCs that grafted in the subretinal space protected the retina from the damage caused by SI, including a partial recovering of the electric response and a reduction in rosette formation. Intravitreally grafted rASCs formed a membrane, resulting in retina folding at the injection site. Müller cells, retinal pigment epithelial cells, and microglial cells migrated from the retina to the rASC-formed membrane and subsequently formed an ERM-like structure. Furthermore, vitreous fluid promoted rASC migration, and rASC-conditioned medium enhanced Müller cell migration as indicated by in vitro studies. These data suggested that the vitreous chamber is not a good transplantation site for ASC-based therapy for RDD and that a deliberate decision should be made before transplantation of stem cells into the vitreous chamber to treat RDD in clinical trials